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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | MacAdam | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,204 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,723 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | Besiege10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $15,833 | −$4,167 −26% | — |
| 454d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $15,207 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 454d | celilexi | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,058 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 454d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,195 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 454d | brr6942023 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $36,230 | +$23,535 +65% | 4 |
| 454d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $17,575 | −$6,239 −36% | — |
| 454d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $9,040 | +$785 +8.7% | 3 |
| 454d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown13¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | +$1,332 +100% | — |
| 454d |  VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $5,675 | −$1,103 −19% | — |
| 454d |  manwithahat6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $17,231 | +$9,479 +55% | 4 |
| 454d | Besiege13 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $16,432 | +$9,420 +57% | 4 |
| 454d | VinnyViral2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,000 +33% | 4 |
| 454d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | −$1,380 −85% | — |
| 454d |  coinman23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $5,526 | −$5,526 −100% | 6 |
| 454d | Besiege4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown56¢ → 0¢ | $4,520 | +$4,520 +100% | — |
| 454d | Besiege7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $8,737 | −$8,737 −100% | 5 |
| 454d | jd143725 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $1,446 | −$1,446 −100% | 4 |
| 454d | NoSir | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown57¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | +$1,213 +100% | — |
| 454d | manwithahat3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $5,784 | −$5,784 −100% | 5 |
| 454d | thb-135 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $2,989 | +$2,446 +82% | 4 |
| 454d | NoSir | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown42¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 4 |
| 454d | 0x00e68b | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | −$1,113 −100% | 4 |
| 454d | 0x00e68b | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$866 −78% | — |
| 454d | 168168k | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp56¢ → 100¢ | $11,654 | −$9,342 −80% | — |
| 454d | Aachau2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp53¢ → 100¢ | $8,410 | −$7,364 −88% | — |
| 454d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown47¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | +$2,350 +100% | — |
| 454d | Cryptobruj3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp42¢ → 100¢ | $4,374 | −$5,966 −136% | — |
| 454d | gtd56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown55¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | +$1,105 +100% | — |
| 454d | gtr435 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp41¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | +$4,478 +144% | 6 |
| 454d | 168168k4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$7,854 +112% | 5 |
| 454d | Aachau2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $8,131 | +$7,642 +94% | 4 |
| 454d | 0x00e68b | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$974 +97% | 4 |
| 455d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp43¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$2,110 +130% | 5 |
| 455d | Cryptobruj4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $7,518 | +$10,443 +139% | 7 |
| 455d | sergey-b | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,293 | +$1,293 +100% | — |
| 455d | screechingwolf | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | — |
| 455d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | −$1,112 −100% | 4 |
| 455d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$2,940 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 19 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 20 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 19 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 20 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.