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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,827 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 83d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,828 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | caoshangui643122 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp100¢ | $7,960 | +$40 +0.5% | 2 |
| 83d | xin22wen7592 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp100¢ | $7,960 | +$40 +0.5% | 2 |
| 83d | ny23apin7544 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $7,954 | +$46 +0.6% | 2 |
| 83d | Noteagle2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,198 | +$80 +1.3% | 2 |
| 83d | Incognitoo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,508 | +$142 +2.2% | 2 |
| 83d | wtf99999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$46 +2.0% | 2 |
| 83d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$261 +8.7% | 3 |
| 83d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $1,625 | −$1,625 −100% | 6 |
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $3,825 | +$1,731 +45% | 4 |
| 83d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$702 +64% | 4 |
| 83d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $2,093 | −$1,416 −68% | — |
| 83d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$641 +54% | 4 |
| 83d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,509 +75% | 4 |
| 84d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,330 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.