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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 446d | kkkjjj123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,419 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 446d | rwo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,007 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 446d | brr6942011 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $18,850 | +$16,489 +87% | 4 |
| 446d |  yanko666 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 2 |
| 446d | Besiege6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $15,928 | −$6,092 −38% | — |
| 446d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$23 +1.6% | 2 |
| 446d | brr6942014 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $21,026 | −$21,026 −100% | 4 |
| 446d |  LukeCerebral | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp41¢ → 0¢ | $4,194 | −$4,194 −100% | 7 |
| 446d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellUp43¢ → 0¢ | $6,502 | +$6,502 +100% | — |
| 446d | Besiege6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown62¢ → 100¢ | $10,612 | +$6,582 +62% | 5 |
| 446d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $7,719 | −$7,340 −95% | — |
| 446d | Besiege2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellUp62¢ → 0¢ | $2,480 | +$2,480 +100% | — |
| 446d | Besiege6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp68¢ → 0¢ | $7,972 | −$7,972 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | LukeCerebral | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellDown41¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | −$3,146 −144% | — |
| 446d |  manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$1,290 +85% | 5 |
| 446d | Jc46891 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $7,388 | −$7,388 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | Loathsome-Underwriting | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp72¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | Kayodexx | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | −$1,299 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | SellDown42¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | −$1,869 −138% | — |
| 447d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 4 |
| 447d | Exploiter | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 3 |
| 447d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,825 | +$2,825 +100% | 3 |
| 447d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,958 | −$2,958 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 27 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 28 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 27 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 28 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
