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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 444d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,605 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 444d | sweeterthanlegal | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,064 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 444d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,013 | −$81 −0.9% | — |
| 444d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$29 +1.8% | 2 |
| 444d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,029 | +$79 +2.0% | 2 |
| 444d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $7,093 | −$1,290 −18% | — |
| 444d |  CoffeeLover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,885 | −$120 −3.1% | — |
| 444d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $15,758 | +$6,564 +42% | 4 |
| 444d | GrindMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 3 |
| 444d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $5,380 | +$620 +12% | 3 |
| 444d | CoffeeLover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$640 +19% | 3 |
| 444d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown41¢ → 0¢ | $10,322 | −$10,322 −100% | 8 |
| 444d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 444d | S-Works | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $7,786 | +$3,180 +41% | 4 |
| 444d | 0xa95bfdb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | +$1,031 +45% | 4 |
| 444d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellDown31¢ → 0¢ | $1,686 | +$1,686 +100% | — |
| 444d | tellmewhy111 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $10,481 | −$10,481 −100% | 8 |
| 445d | Ikkyu1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $3,036 | +$2,109 +69% | 4 |
| 445d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $8,393 | +$5,367 +64% | 4 |
| 445d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SellUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$786 −69% | — |
| 445d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,079 | −$2,079 −100% | 4 |
| 446d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 3 |
| 446d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,111 | +$2,989 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 29 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 30 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 29 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 30 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.