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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469d |  PredictionYogi | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,662 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d |  CoffeeLover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | WTETH | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,082 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 469d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 469d | Mumen | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 469d | brr6942019 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $58,849 | +$15,756 +27% | 3 |
| 469d |  pepeFight | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,887 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 469d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,907 | +$100 +2.0% | 2 |
| 469d | GooseEgg2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,647 | +$69 +2.6% | 2 |
| 469d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $11,368 | +$786 +6.9% | 3 |
| 469d |  coinman26 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $20,641 | +$4,449 +22% | 3 |
| 469d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $5,602 | −$1,558 −28% | — |
| 469d |  JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$55 +5.3% | 2 |
| 469d | precision4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $9,920 | +$1,307 +13% | 3 |
| 469d | brr6942017 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $49,215 | −$13,157 −27% | — |
| 469d | brr6942010 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown32¢ → 0¢ | $13,546 | +$13,546 +100% | — |
| 469d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown19¢ → 0¢ | $2,143 | +$2,143 +100% | — |
| 469d | AhmedTheZebl | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$214 +20% | 3 |
| 469d | coinman23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $15,847 | −$2,786 −18% | — |
| 469d |  manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $3,870 | +$630 +16% | 3 |
| 469d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $3,045 | −$955 −31% | — |
| 469d | 0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,560 | +$440 +12% | 3 |
| 469d | iamgone3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown22¢ → 0¢ | $5,728 | −$5,728 −100% | 13 |
| 469d | brr694205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $6,634 | −$6,634 −100% | 11 |
| 469d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 7 |
| 469d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $2,928 | −$2,928 −100% | 4 |
| 470d | Pafuncio | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 4 |
| 470d | Tonyy102 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $4,499 | −$4,499 −100% | 4 |
| 470d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $2,609 | −$2,609 −100% | 4 |
| 470d | Tonyy10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | SellDown47¢ → 0¢ | $1,780 | +$1,780 +100% | — |
| 470d | reikano | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$1,568 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 4 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 5 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 4 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 5 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
