Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,748 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 113d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $9,022 | +$6,380 +71% | 4 |
| 113d | Am2349 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | −$565 −29% | — |
| 113d | Am2349 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyUp36¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,116 +176% | 5 |
| 113d | Am2349 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | SellDown58¢ → 0¢ | $2,003 | +$2,003 +100% | — |
| 113d | Am2349 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $1,132 | −$1,132 −100% | 4 |
| 113d | wackoth1245342 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$1,153 +85% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x4093…5749 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyDown79¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | −$1,284 −100% | 3 |
| 113d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $12,553 | −$12,553 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.