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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | C03B6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $161,542 | −$162 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  axxaxxa | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $2,202 | +$1,103 +50% | 6 |
| 219d | Melody-L | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | −$1,059 −63% | — |
| 219d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellUp36¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$2,027 −174% | — |
| 219d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellDown85¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | +$1,286 +100% | — |
| 219d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyDown94¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | −$1,112 −100% | 3 |
| 219d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyDown74¢ → 0¢ | $4,525 | −$4,525 −100% | 5 |
| 219d | Elderly-Hospitalisation2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellUp26¢ → 100¢ | $3,524 | −$10,054 −285% | — |
| 219d | Elderly-Hospitalisation | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $2,870 | +$4,914 +171% | 7 |
| 219d | Elderly-Hospitalisation2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | SellDown65¢ → 0¢ | $5,064 | +$5,064 +100% | — |
| 219d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyUp33¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$2,114 +204% | 4 |
| 220d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$1,299 +92% | 4 |
M.Thon1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.