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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $13,483 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | chefwiz | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $10,041 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,833 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 229d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,827 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | jjjjjsda | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,370 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 229d | F0sEE | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $15,434 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d | jc413 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 229d |  LecraeSavior | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 229d | 0xe617…f2513 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $34,020 | +$503 +1.5% | 2 |
| 229d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $4,686 | +$2,341 +50% | 8 |
| 229d | Sutminpik | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$219 −22% | — |
| 229d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$588 +47% | 5 |
| 229d |  shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown79¢ → 0¢ | $5,927 | −$5,927 −100% | 4 |
| 229d |  Naveen1192 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$1,089 +91% | 4 |
| 229d | 65656564 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $3,113 | −$3,113 −100% | 5 |
| 229d | shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp38¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$1,854 −164% | — |
| 229d | shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$986 +49% | 4 |
| 229d | AR212 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $1,978 | −$1,978 −100% | 6 |
| 230d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $4,695 | −$4,695 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | qilloiidokos | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
shafshef127,539 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.