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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | Acidic-Standpoint | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,143 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | case11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,382 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 206d | Shallow-Actor | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,645 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 206d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,494 | +$32 +1.3% | 2 |
| 206d | kakarotto007 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,692 | −$42 −1.1% | — |
| 206d | 0x8808…e14c | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,013 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 206d | eddee | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$47 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 206d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$45 +1.5% | 2 |
| 206d | Acidic-Standpoint | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$25 +2.2% | 2 |
| 206d | Elowinarves | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,508 | −$165 −4.7% | — |
| 206d | sheijiangcc | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,286 | +$254 +11% | 3 |
| 206d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$234 −13% | — |
| 206d | kakarotto007 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$521 +16% | 3 |
| 206d | Elowinarves | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$1,267 +62% | 4 |
| 206d | Rlafte | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | SellUp47¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | −$3,230 −112% | — |
| 206d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $3,310 | −$3,310 −100% | 4 |
| 207d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,949 | −$1,949 −100% | 5 |
| 207d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $4,941 | +$4,747 +96% | 4 |
| 207d | des1reGO | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,022 | −$2,022 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.