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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | turkxbt | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,000 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d |  niitoxyz | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Testy-Luck | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $14,379 | +$1,692 +12% | 3 |
| 228d | legday3333 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellUp13¢ → 0¢ | $5,511 | +$5,511 +100% | — |
| 228d | chacamariano | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | −$121 −6.4% | — |
| 228d | Eden199121 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | −$56 −3.0% | — |
| 228d | 0xe617…f2517 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $75,000 | +$1,252 +1.7% | 2 |
| 228d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $5,562 | −$264 −4.7% | — |
| 228d | legday333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp4¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 228d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$84 +2.7% | 2 |
| 228d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$50 +3.1% | 2 |
| 228d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | −$133 −4.2% | — |
| 228d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $10,048 | +$484 +4.8% | 2 |
| 228d | Trifling-BarbecueNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp21¢ → 0¢ | $1,806 | −$1,806 −100% | 10 |
| 228d | MO5777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp28¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 4 |
| 228d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | +$1,035 +100% | — |
| 228d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $2,277 | −$2,277 −100% | 8 |
| 228d | redvinny2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $5,364 | +$4,953 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.