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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226d | Slushy-FlickNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 226d | Minus36k | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,097 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 226d | Haidari | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,096 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 226d | Haidari | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,098 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 226d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,000 | +$34 +0.5% | 2 |
| 226d | 4tlas | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | +$34 +1.8% | 2 |
| 226d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$367 +32% | 6 |
| 226d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$319 +32% | 4 |
| 226d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown69¢ → 100¢ | $4,609 | −$2,041 −44% | — |
| 226d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $1,641 | −$1,641 −100% | 8 |
| 227d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,794 | −$1,794 −100% | 4 |
| 227d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$2,100 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.