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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Massive-PoignanceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,070 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | +$29 +0.7% | 2 |
| 222d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $20,000 | +$77 +0.4% | 2 |
| 222d | Massive-PoignanceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$74 +2.5% | 2 |
| 222d | Gingerale18093 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $12,798 | +$367 +2.9% | 2 |
| 222d | Incognitoo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $16,145 | +$1,540 +9.5% | 3 |
| 222d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,687 | −$401 −15% | — |
| 222d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$241 +23% | 3 |
| 222d |  sportsgaza | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $1,931 | −$1,931 −100% | 6 |
| 222d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$1,919 +170% | 4 |
| 222d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | +$1,462 +100% | — |
| 223d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$1,067 +89% | 4 |
| 223d | Short-Tatami | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 4 |
| 223d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,139 | −$1,139 −100% | 3 |
Endgamepol2,555 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.