Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150d |  Alexandru888 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $22,889 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,938 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,190 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $17,006 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $22,782 | +$2,607 +11% | 3 |
| 150d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $24,536 | +$185 +0.8% | 2 |
| 150d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $16,913 | +$111 +0.7% | 2 |
| 150d | losslessw | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 150d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,000 | +$38 +0.5% | 2 |
| 150d | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,303 | +$297 +9.0% | 3 |
| 150d | rusgreat | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$34 +2.0% | 2 |
| 150d | gobblewobble5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $11,300 | +$669 +5.9% | 2 |
| 150d | samzi | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | +$128 +5.3% | 2 |
| 150d | Colorful-BarbequeNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$204 +7.5% | 3 |
| 150d | Benevento | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | +$252 +6.4% | 3 |
| 150d | InspectorRoyale | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp61¢ → 100¢ | $2,870 | −$1,833 −64% | — |
| 150d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 151d | InspectorRoyale | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,125 +56% | 4 |
| 151d | Alexandru8882 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $4,877 | +$3,323 +68% | 4 |
| 151d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$1,385 +96% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.