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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514d | ghost77 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,135 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,155 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 514d | AhmedTheZebl | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,391 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 514d | DOWNbet | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,883 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 514d | glarity | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $10,874 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 514d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,145 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 514d | nghiapham | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,412 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 514d | Waterfall412 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,699 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 514d | Boloto-148 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,798 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$9 −0.9% | — | |
| 514d | Jackvillow | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 514d | Hashbrown3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,248 | +$100 +1.2% | 2 |
| 514d | Jedi008 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$24 −1.4% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 514d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,886 | +$480 +9.8% | 3 |
| 514d | ivanliew852 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$192 +6.4% | 2 |
| 514d | RolyPoliOli | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$110 +6.4% | 2 |
| 514d | ivanliew85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$113 −7.5% | — |
| 514d | tryingout1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,629 | +$198 +7.5% | 2 |
| 514d | Travellerz | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | −$238 −15% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$279 +15% | 2 | |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $7,528 | +$1,026 +14% | 2 | |
| 514d | XXXVI | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$300 +11% | 2 |
| 514d | AhmedTheZebl | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 2 |
| 514d | Malangk2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $7,279 | +$875 +12% | 3 |
| 514d | Boloto-148 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $3,543 | +$726 +20% | 3 |
| 514d | dfgfbv10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $13,279 | +$3,189 +24% | 3 |
| 514d | dfgfbv5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $6,776 | −$2,046 −30% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $6,901 | +$1,820 +26% | 3 | |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,384 | −$1,384 −100% | 6 | |
| 514d | Derek1234668 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | −$1,214 −100% | 5 |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $9,929 | +$1,984 +20% | 3 | |
| 514d | 0x2Fd2C33E0DF6883B797662c721BA39601A86Fd27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | −$531 −30% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | +$435 +25% | 4 | |
| 514d | ...2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp74¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$1,062 −36% | — |
| 514d | justTrying-4602 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown22¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 9 |
| 514d | justTrying-46014 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp83¢ → 100¢ | $42,714 | −$8,782 −21% | — |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $12,341 | +$2,556 +21% | 3 | |
| 514d | SunshineTV | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | −$275 −15% | — |
| 514d | justTrying-46012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $29,319 | +$7,036 +24% | 3 |
| 514d | ... | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$245 +12% | 3 |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown19¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 | |
| 514d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 5 | |
| 514d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | +$603 +35% | 4 |
| 514d | Lol1442 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp67¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | −$1,221 −49% | — |
| 514d | okta123Error | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$679 −67% | — |
| 515d | kingmaker | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 4 |
| 515d | kingmaker | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | −$563 −45% | — |
| 515d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $1,132 | −$1,132 −100% | 4 | |
| 515d | kingmaker | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$568 +46% | 4 |
| 515d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 4 |
| 515d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,552 | −$1,552 −100% | 4 | |
| 515d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 515d | 0x2Fd2C33E0DF6883B797662c721BA39601A86Fd27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 20 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 21 May '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 20 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 21 May '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.