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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,828 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 356d | allenyang | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,797 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 356d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$112 +11% | 3 | |
| 357d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$1,060 +67% | 4 |
| 357d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,331 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 25 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.