Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,141 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 7d |  AkarshitGangwar | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | hqcake03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$95 +6.3% | 2 |
| 8d | chilloutTt | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$587 +59% | 4 |
trulyalya11,415 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.