Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,595 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 31d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $5,658 | +$1,961 +35% | 4 |
| 31d | btcpolly | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyUp36¢ → 0¢ | $1,796 | −$1,796 −100% | 6 |
| 31d | 0x778b…c682 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SellUp27¢ → 0¢ | $2,125 | +$2,125 +100% | — |
| 32d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$2,726 +96% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.