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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,936 | +$75 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 30d | JHSimons | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,188 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,801 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $7,768 | +$152 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 30d | hqcake03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$837 +17% | 3 |
| 30d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $7,228 | +$1,286 +18% | 3 |
| 30d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $11,589 | +$1,688 +15% | 3 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $7,568 | +$1,443 +19% | 3 |
| 30d | btcpolly | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $2,391 | −$2,391 −100% | 8 |
| 30d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,468 +59% | 4 |
| 30d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $6,868 | −$6,868 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.