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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410d | fook | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,410 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 410d | jansci | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$77 +7.5% | 3 |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $3,463 | −$390 −11% | — | |
| 410d | usuallyheads7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $23,934 | +$11,874 +50% | 4 |
| 410d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $4,971 | −$4,971 −100% | 7 |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $3,339 | +$4,611 +138% | 6 | |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $9,512 | −$9,512 −100% | 5 | |
| 410d | usuallyheads5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $8,369 | −$8,369 −100% | 4 |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown55¢ → 0¢ | $2,770 | +$2,770 +100% | — | |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $9,568 | +$941 +9.8% | 3 | |
| 410d | JimmyG48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$67 +5.3% | 2 |
| 410d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,545 | +$455 +10% | 3 |
| 410d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$321 +16% | 3 |
| 410d | letsgoduckies | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$221 −18% | — |
| 410d | bc1234 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $14,061 | +$2,193 +16% | 3 |
| 410d | Hd2hvx01jdhvslxkcva | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | +$1,002 +100% | — |
| 411d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$954 +61% | 4 |
| 411d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | SellDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | +$1,103 +100% | — |
| 411d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2? | BuyDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,126 | −$1,126 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 1 Sep '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 2 Sep '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 1 Sep '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 2 Sep '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.