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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d |  AkarshitGangwar | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,212 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $9,478 | +$2,774 +29% | 4 |
| 17d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $12,920 | +$958 +7.4% | 3 |
| 17d | AkarshitGangwar | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 17d |  ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,277 | +$132 +3.1% | 2 |
| 17d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $23,897 | +$6,298 +26% | 3 |
Sxc123.sxc21,072 shares
crixuswu1,816 shares
XiaoFengQin1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.