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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 408d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $8,911 | +$2,205 +25% | 3 |
| 408d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $3,577 | −$354 −9.9% | — |
| 408d | JimmyG48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | +$50 +3.2% | 2 |
| 408d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $7,135 | +$376 +5.3% | 2 |
| 408d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | SellDown71¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | −$699 −41% | — |
| 409d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $4,217 | −$4,217 −100% | 4 |
| 409d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$1,233 +96% | 4 |
| 410d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Sep '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 4 Sep '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Sep '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 4 Sep '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.