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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $6,524 | +$2,072 +32% | 4 |
| 42d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 4 |
| 43d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $2,930 | −$2,930 −100% | 4 |
trulyalya15,780 shares
aize51,032 shares
tucuxi1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.