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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | +3 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $50M | 100% | +12 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 0% | +1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $10M | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $20M | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $400M | 0% | −5 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | JasonOu2024 | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,459 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 227d |  Cloverince | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,553 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | kkdsj | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,298 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 227d |  abhionpoly | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,280 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 227d | h00neybal | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,163 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | kkdsj | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,097 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,538 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d |  leleko2k | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,444 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 227d |  Mollytrading | $100M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,387 | −$71 −2.1% | — |
| 227d | Hpp3 | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,984 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | Hpp32 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 227d | rovad2 fills | $100M | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$921 +31% | 2 |
| 228d |  icantbreathe | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,656 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | leleko2k | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,709 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | leleko2k | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,014 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | 1881aa | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,003 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 228d | Hpp3 | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,806 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | icantbreathe | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 228d | evieandlewis | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,541 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | ExDeus | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 228d | jetLLLLLLLL | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 228d | evieandlewis | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,251 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 229d | h00neyballzsports | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,202 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 229d | trungminh123 | $20M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 229d |  blgggggg | $400M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 229d | Mollytrading | $100M | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$2,605 +236% | 2 |
| 229d | Pokemon0013 fills | $100M | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $8,569 | −$8,569 −100% | 2 |
| 230d | trungminh123 | $20M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$28 +2.4% | 2 |
| 243d | cnmbb | $10M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$90 +4.7% | 2 |
| 243d | ssttyy678678 | $10M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | +$88 +4.6% | 2 |
| 243d | hfdtrh | $10M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$88 +4.5% | 2 |
| 243d | dfgh87 | $10M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$90 +4.6% | 2 |
| 243d | ewf34fffe | $10M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$92 +4.7% | 2 |
| 243d | Real-Houseboat | $10M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$94 +4.8% | 2 |
| 243d | Eager-Commodity | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$58 +3.0% | 2 |
| 243d | dfsgr | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$54 +2.8% | 2 |
| 243d | Flawed-Opinion2 fills | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$65 +3.0% | 2 |
| 243d | nghr5yr | $10M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$27 +2.4% | 2 |
| 243d | ngf65 | $10M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$24 +2.4% | 2 |
| 243d | fgd4rt | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$57 +2.6% | 2 |
| 243d | fsgrdgg5546 | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$32 +2.8% | 2 |
| 243d | gdfdrgrey555 | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,161 | +$61 +2.8% | 2 |
| 243d | dsfhg32ew | $10M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
| 249d | Pokemon001 | $200M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,749 | +$251 +5.3% | 2 |
| 252d |  alanhutton | $50M | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 2 |
0xleo888100 shares
20fuliwutong63 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Bitway's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Bitway (https://x.com/BitwayOfficial) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.