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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$2M | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| >$3M | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| >$5M | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| >$1M | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| >$7M | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| >$10M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| >$500K | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264d |  1BeaNataTime | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,312 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | ballboy953 fills | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | >$2M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | loveheng | >$2M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,128 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | loveheng | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,137 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | ExDeus | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,331 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Weary-Duplexer | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | mwkmty | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,616 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | feika | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,599 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d |  bamesjond2 fills | >$2M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$35 +0.7% | 2 |
| 264d | mwkmty | >$3M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | topsonrock | >$3M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 264d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | >$3M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | plantostar | >$2M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,029 | +$78 +2.6% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT4 fills | >$3M | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,378 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT4 fills | >$2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,607 | +$53 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT | >$5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT | >$7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,875 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT | >$10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,092 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | C03B2 fills | >$3M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,034 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | fdgadva | >$10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | C03B | >$5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,313 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | topsonrock4 fills | >$2M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,666 | +$864 +6.3% | 2 |
| 264d |  yujie2000 | >$2M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$39 +1.3% | 2 |
| 264d | C03B | >$7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | Wise-ExhibitionNew account | >$2M | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $6,973 | +$3,705 +53% | 4 |
| 264d | kevin-airdrop | >$3M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$55 +3.4% | 2 |
| 264d |  cr1mean | >$10M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | 0xeb9d…e31b | >$5M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$50 +4.2% | 2 |
| 264d | cr1mean | >$7M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$54 +2.7% | 2 |
| 265d | C03B | >$10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 265d | cufitax | >$10M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$24 −1.8% | — |
| 265d |  0xvalmir | >$7M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$46 +3.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Each-Bench2 fills | >$1M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,328 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Each-Bench | >$500K | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | hog11 | >$2M | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,348 | −$1,348 −100% | 2 |
| 265d |  mensur2033 | >$5M | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$182 −11% | — |
| 265d |  isunou | >$1M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 266d | Wise-ExhibitionNew account | >$3M | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$1,604 +73% | 4 |
| 266d |  donjo | >$500K | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,962 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | mexicola | >$10M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$261 +12% | 2 |
| 266d | mexicola2 fills | >$7M | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,029 | +$992 +33% | 2 |
| 266d |  hack-vc | >$500K | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 266d | hack-vc | >$1M | SellYes>99¢ | $5,137 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 267d |  Kalu9900 | >$1M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,234 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 267d | EricaXBT3 fills | >$500K | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,497 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 268d |  Lai.Cai2 fills | >$3M | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $2,208 | −$2,208 −100% | 2 |
| 268d | cr1mean | >$500K | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,072 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 268d | hack-vc | >$500K | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 268d | hack-vc | >$1M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,657 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
maywow2,000 shares
hypelyfe297 shares
LisaWill1 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Bitway raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/99cde47ae13b4374a523?projectName=Bitway If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >$2M means the market gives it about 0%.