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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534d |  Schwarzerfalke2 fills | Bolsonaro arrested before May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | +$166 +2.8% | 20 |
| 549d | tigercager | Bolsonaro arrested before May? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$43 −3.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between March 26 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.