Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $300M | 100% | +30 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $400M | 100% | +73 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $500M | 0% | −2 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 100% | +1 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $600M | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $1B | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $800M | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $700M | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | Chuks | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,301 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 283d |  Polisadnik | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,042 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | plankton2 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,975 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | plankton2 | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,025 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | jay77888888 | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,244 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 283d | 1881aa | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,366 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 283d |  beenraping | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,374 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | btacc | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,338 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d |  hack-vc2 fills | $500M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,385 | +$101 +2.3% | 2 |
| 283d |  alex101 | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,895 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | jingyu01122 fills | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,149 | +$23 +0.5% | 2 |
| 283d | loveheng2 fills | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,395 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 283d | hack-vc | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | jay77888888 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,138 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | maru-xan | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,554 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | deepmouse | $700M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | miraman2 fills | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,183 | +$39 +0.5% | 2 |
| 283d | miraman | $400M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 283d | Polisadnik | $400M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 283d | hack-vc | $700M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,295 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 283d | gazikk | $400M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$64 +6.4% | 2 |
| 283d | dube2 fills | $400M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$211 +5.9% | 2 |
| 283d | kingwei1988 | $300M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 283d | beenraping | $300M | BuyYes100¢ | $5,547 | +$28 +0.5% | 2 |
| 283d | onekey09 | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,036 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 283d | dedslcfmsds | $400M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$144 +7.4% | 2 |
| 283d |  zeroprobability | $700M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 283d | Niudad | $300M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 283d | xfhsfh2 fills | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,899 | +$42 +0.7% | 2 |
| 283d | Innocent-Wrecker3 fills | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,739 | +$50 +0.9% | 2 |
| 283d | cmdefi | $300M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 283d | sportbetss | $600M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$133 +9.1% | 2 |
| 283d | toanhtoanh3 fills | $300M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,265 | +$82 +1.6% | 2 |
| 283d | onekey09 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,152 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | Niudad | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,199 | +$31 +0.6% | 2 |
| 283d | Niudad | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,361 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | kingwei1988 | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,175 | +$22 +0.7% | 2 |
| 283d | Niudad | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,409 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 283d | xfhsfh2 fills | $200M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,167 | +$184 +5.8% | 2 |
| 283d | Daoxialiuren | $400M | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | −$205 −11% | — |
| 283d | deepmouse | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,796 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | lanxbaba | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 283d | Short-Following2 fills | $400M | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,188 | −$723 −23% | — |
| 283d |  gleb7 | $400M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$168 +8.6% | 2 |
| 283d | 1881aa2 fills | $300M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,122 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 283d | crypto_nerd2 fills | $400M | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | +$2,140 +52% | 2 |
| 283d | deepmouse | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,698 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 283d | dedslcfmsds | $200M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,354 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 283d | fdhdfhh2 fills | $300M | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $6,360 | +$1,441 +23% | 2 |
| 283d | rtertg2 fills | $300M | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,011 | +$447 +15% | 2 |
| 283d | fdsdds | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,901 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 283d | happy001 | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 283d | wenyu888888 | $300M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $23,520 | +$480 +2.0% | 2 |
| 283d | upasna | $300M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 2 |
| 283d | onekey092 fills | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,313 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 283d | crypto_nerd | $400M | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$459 −33% | — |
| 283d | Innocent-Wrecker | $300M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$47 −4.1% | — |
| 283d | Daoxialiuren | $300M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$60 −5.3% | — |
| 283d | duzou- | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,833 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | Short-Following | $400M | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,911 +96% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Brevis's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Brevis (https://x.com/brevis_zk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.