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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $6B | 0% | −13 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $3B | 100% | +6 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $14B | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $10B | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $5B | 0% | −8 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 339d | amis | $3B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,554 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | thetadog | $5B | SellNo>99¢ | $6,394 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 339d | thetadog | $3B | SellYes>99¢ | $6,793 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | kevin-airdrop | $3B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | kevin-airdrop | $5B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,552 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | limosine2 fills | $3B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,617 | +$223 +1.8% | 2 |
| 340d |  JAHODA | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,364 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 340d |  mioki | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 340d | JAHODA | $3B | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,244 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 340d | deepmouse | $3B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 340d | rnassivecIick | $5B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
| 340d | deepmouse | $6B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,282 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 340d | danielleggerman | $14B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,984 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 340d | limosine2 fills | $6B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $126,544 | +$1,301 +1.0% | 2 |
| 340d | limosine | $5B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$261 +5.3% | 2 |
| 340d | limosine | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,219 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 340d | Trivial-Breastplate2 fills | $1B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,620 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 341d |  alanhutton | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 341d |  alwaysthrivin2 fills | $14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,227 | +$66 +0.2% | 2 |
| 341d | alwaysthrivin | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,995 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 341d | elpredictoooor | $14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,296 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 341d | deepmouse | $14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,283 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 341d | OptionK | $10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | +$17 +1.2% | 2 |
| 341d |  elmcap24 fills | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $38,790 | +$277 +0.7% | 2 |
| 341d | nolud | $3B | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$50 −4.7% | — |
| 341d | gydmasg | $14B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 341d | kevin-airdrop | $3B | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$120 +4.2% | 2 |
| 341d | fintrader | $5B | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 2 |
| 341d | defi4real | $1B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,011 | −$27 −0.9% | — |
| 342d | lvhad | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$29 +1.1% | 2 |
| 342d | iturdh | $1B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,693 | −$35 −1.3% | — |
| 343d | rmeda2o2qtl2 | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | +$39 +1.1% | 2 |
| 343d | cohtwgxqpj9v | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$39 +1.1% | 2 |
| 343d |  AIXBET4 | $6B | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,100 +79% | 2 |
| 344d |  Armin-1Q | $1B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,007 | −$45 −1.5% | — |
| 344d | Qu13 | $6B | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,402 | −$1,402 −100% | 2 |
| 344d |  wish- | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 344d | elmcap22 fills | $3B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,356 | +$1,044 +14% | 2 |
| 344d | Armin-1Q | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$54 +1.8% | 2 |
| 347d | tsqvfwhnyzb1 | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,429 | +$77 +2.2% | 2 |
| 347d | ggoqou5tmkjr | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,427 | +$77 +2.2% | 2 |
| 347d | ejiisal5htx3 | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,447 | +$63 +1.8% | 2 |
| 347d | bjtfrfurcakz | $1B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,437 | +$63 +1.8% | 2 |
| 348d |  GameOver | $3B | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$133 −11% | — |
| 351d | AlienXBT | $3B | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$149 +12% | 2 |
| 353d | Trivial-Breastplate | $1B | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,625 | +$507 +5.3% | 2 |
Zighy10,000 shares
fastchecker7,446 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Canton's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Canton doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 100%.