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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +34 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151d |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $21,160 | +$493 +2.3% | 4 |
| 192d | LisaMoore8047 | CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 4 |
cookiejar584 shares
Steebo170 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.