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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 19 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 24 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 21 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d |  x.o | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,833 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d |  bamesjond | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,395 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 239d |  ThePortrait | February 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 239d | ThePortrait | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 239d | ThePortrait | February 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 239d |  khai13 | February 19 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$23 +2.0% | 4 |
| 239d | absoll | February 19 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$298 +10% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 19 means the market gives it about 100%.