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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 8 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 11 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d |  isWaterWet | March 11 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,608 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | isWaterWet | March 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,399 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  DiamondHands11 | March 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,347 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | DiamondHands11 | March 11 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,347 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | chaosj88 | March 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 222d | isWaterWet2 fills | March 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$77 +1.9% | 4 |
| 222d | isWaterWet | March 11 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$32 +2.0% | 4 |
| 222d | 1197 | March 15 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$976 +26% | 5 |
| 222d | 1197 | March 11 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$323 +18% | 5 |
| 223d | chaosj882 fills | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,246 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d |  PredictionYogi | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,675 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | miremm | March 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | kkdsj3 fills | March 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,775 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  swqa3 | March 7 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$61 +4.2% | 4 |
| 225d | PredictionYogi | March 5 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,895 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 225d | lilimeme | March 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 225d | miremm | March 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,787 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 225d | PredictionYogi2 fills | March 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,236 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 225d | chaosj88 | March 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 227d | chaosj88 | March 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,066 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 228d | evieandlewis | March 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 228d | chaosj88 | March 2 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
bjprolo100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 2 means the market gives it about 0%.