Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-12.5) vs NIP (+12.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | lungtuu | Map 2 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | out-of | Map 2 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $3,679 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | TheoThanlwin | Match Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $6,251 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | tiredwin | Match Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | 123111111111111 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,368 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 2d | Kaczka | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $2,236 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | jnbeats | Match Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $8,765 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | RIPabloEscobar | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,429 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 2d | RIPabloEscobar | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,892 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 2d | 467j6yj5 fills | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming96¢ → 100¢ | $9,502 | +$375 +3.9% | 5 |
| 2d | testBruno25 fills | Map 2 Winner | SellAurora Gaming94¢ → 100¢ | $11,948 | −$750 −6.3% | — |
| 2d | redvinny2 fills | Map 2 Winner | SellAurora Gaming98¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | −$45 −1.8% | — |
| 2d | testBruno24 fills | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming95¢ → 100¢ | $7,750 | +$407 +5.2% | 6 |
| 2d | out-of2 fills | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming83¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$623 +20% | 10 |
| 2d | yishiwucheng2 fills | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming98¢ → 100¢ | $2,401 | +$50 +2.1% | 5 |
| 2d | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming93¢ → 100¢ | $4,620 | +$333 +7.2% | 6 | |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming84¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | +$703 +19% | 9 | |
| 2d | darkmarketmaker3 fills | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming82¢ → 100¢ | $4,395 | +$938 +21% | 10 |
| 2d | nobody2somebody | Match Winner | SellAurora Gaming95¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 2d | darkmarketmaker5 fills | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming91¢ → 100¢ | $13,342 | +$1,281 +9.6% | 7 |
| 2d | redvinny2 fills | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming82¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | +$623 +21% | 10 |
| 2d | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming93¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$88 +7.5% | 6 | |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming75¢ → 100¢ | $4,856 | +$1,609 +33% | 12 | |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$378 +37% | 13 | |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming74¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$393 +35% | 13 | |
| 2d | THEHIGHLIFE | Map 2 Winner | BuyNIP28¢ → 0¢ | $2,853 | −$2,853 −100% | 14 |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | +$1,507 +37% | 13 | |
| 2d | kid817 | Map 2 Winner | BuyNIP28¢ → 0¢ | $2,837 | −$2,837 −100% | 14 |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$370 +37% | 13 | |
| 2d | ztao | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$420 +37% | 13 |
| 2d | moopsy | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming90¢ → 100¢ | $1,698 | +$189 +11% | 7 |
| 2d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$460 +37% | 13 |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,722 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 2d | jnbeats | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming90¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | +$877 +11% | 7 |
| 2d | esport666 | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,102 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming72¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$544 +39% | 13 | |
| 2d | weeeskies | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming89¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$188 +12% | 8 |
| 2d | derty23 | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $2,723 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | kid817 | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $5,653 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $1,973 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 2d | jnbeats | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming>99¢ | $7,944 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Naive-Motel | Map 2 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$389 +39% | 13 |
| 2d | redvinny | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming99¢ → 100¢ | $6,043 | −$61 −1.0% | — |
| 2d | testBruno22 fills | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming82¢ → 100¢ | $3,988 | +$880 +22% | 10 |
| 2d | 467j6yj | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming83¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$292 +20% | 10 |
| 2d | redvinny5 fills | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming83¢ → 100¢ | $9,688 | +$1,984 +20% | 10 |
| 2d | testBruno22 fills | Map 1 Winner | SellAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $4,391 | −$1,658 −38% | — |
| 2d | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming68¢ → 100¢ | $5,921 | +$2,748 +46% | 14 | |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming71¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$571 +41% | 14 | |
| 2d | NS13 | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming73¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$450 +37% | 13 |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming54¢ → 100¢ | $4,834 | +$4,122 +85% | 14 | |
| 2d | testBruno2 | Map 1 Winner | SellNIP70¢ → 0¢ | $1,516 | +$1,516 +100% | — |
| 2d | redvinny | Map 1 Winner | BuyNIP74¢ → 0¢ | $1,294 | −$1,294 −100% | 13 |
| 2d | Match Winner | BuyNIP40¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 14 | |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | BuyNIP64¢ → 0¢ | $3,762 | −$3,762 −100% | 14 | |
| 2d | suntori | Match Winner | BuyAurora Gaming66¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$540 +52% | 14 |
| 2d | delacsynzy1 | Map 1 Winner | BuyNIP56¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 2d | delacsynzy1 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | BuyNIP57¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 2d | Map 1 Winner | BuyAurora Gaming58¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$724 +72% | 14 |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Aurora Gaming and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Match Winner means the market gives it about 100%.