Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5) | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Vitality (+6.5) | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-12.5) vs Vitality (+12.5) | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5) | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5) | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5) | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | makssimqa | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $2,125 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Violent-Figurine | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,834 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | hurrican | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $4,611 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | PS003 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $22,622 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | suntori2 fills | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $2,627 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | DzHero | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $4,150 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | clancybeast | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,290 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 12d | LinTh137 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,167 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | esport666 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | wotaktwot | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $17,059 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | rabbit2a | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $3,102 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | erw322 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $3,228 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | opiop18 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,384 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 12d | AVGGloser | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $2,873 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Ancient-Infarction | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | risky248 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,558 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Cwy00000 | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $3,012 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | blancnoirchat | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,347 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $3,715 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing2 fills | Match Winner | SellVitality83¢ → 100¢ | $7,003 | −$1,448 −21% | — |
| 12d | cs2gamblerr | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | lumetea | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $2,148 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | RIPabloEscobar | Match Winner | BuyVitality>99¢ | $11,949 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | nontr | Match Winner | SellVitality>99¢ | $1,234 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | owlgorithm-beta | Match Winner | BuyVitality>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | InterzoneCo | Match Winner | BuyVitality>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | 467j6yj3 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality96¢ → 100¢ | $6,563 | +$257 +3.9% | 5 |
| 12d | redvinny3 fills | Match Winner | SellVitality95¢ → 100¢ | $5,194 | −$291 −5.6% | — |
| 12d | TommyLeePeeca4 fills | Match Winner | SellVitality80¢ → 100¢ | $7,150 | −$1,740 −24% | — |
| 12d | testBruno22 fills | Match Winner | SellVitality82¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | −$527 −22% | — |
| 12d | minji2 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality83¢ → 100¢ | $3,110 | +$623 +20% | 10 |
| 12d | xytest2 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality78¢ → 100¢ | $6,155 | +$1,720 +28% | 11 |
| 12d | Match Winner | BuyVitality73¢ → 100¢ | $15,478 | +$5,656 +37% | 13 | |
| 12d | redvinny | Match Winner | BuyVitality89¢ → 100¢ | $4,419 | +$546 +12% | 8 |
| 12d | TommyLeePeeca2 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality81¢ → 100¢ | $3,914 | +$930 +24% | 10 |
| 12d | risky248 | Match Winner | BuyVitality80¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$307 +25% | 11 |
| 12d | swy01 | Match Winner | BuyVitality76¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$434 +32% | 12 |
| 12d | Enraged-Planning-Transformation2 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality74¢ → 100¢ | $10,800 | +$3,786 +35% | 13 |
| 12d | makssimqa | Match Winner | BuyVitality68¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$681 +47% | 14 |
| 12d | nothingtoint2 fills | Match Winner | BuyVitality58¢ → 100¢ | $6,259 | +$4,620 +74% | 14 |
| 12d | minji | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere36¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | xytest | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere36¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | −$1,113 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere36¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 14 | |
| 12d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere36¢ → 0¢ | $1,338 | −$1,338 −100% | 14 | |
| 12d | Finished-Cholesterol | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$1,159 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | Freddy007 | Map 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,079 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 | |
| 12d | erw322 | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$1,131 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | fkigedgjdgwbg | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $14,444 | +$7,778 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | Stable-Armament | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$10,769 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | penguin1125 | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$1,054 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | hurrican | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,615 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | cerebralhole3 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere35¢ → 0¢ | $19,880 | −$19,880 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | DzHero | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$1,454 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,177 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 12d | Sodoo | Match Winner | BuyVitality65¢ → 100¢ | $2,902 | +$1,563 +54% | 14 |
| 12d | Map 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 12d | numeris | Map 2 Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Vitality and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Match Winner means the market gives it about 100%.