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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Josh Shapiro | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pete Buttigieg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J. B. Pritzker | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andy Beshear | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wes Moore | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roy Cooper | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raphael Warnock | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sherrod Brown | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stacey Abrams | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Cuban | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mitt Romney | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Manchin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Fetterman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other Man | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other Woman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802d |  d1k212 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,423 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | therealbatman2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $70,429 | +$148 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d |  MALDEMER | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,055 | +$26 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | professorx5 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,098 | +$122 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | d1k21 | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,948 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 802d | professorx | Michelle Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,876 | +$32 +0.2% | 10 |
| 802d | therealbatman2 fills | Michelle Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $49,009 | +$362 +0.7% | 10 |
| 802d |  WordleAddict | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,608 | +$148 +1.0% | 10 |
| 802d |  Ferguson0500Turd | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$33 +1.0% | 10 |
| 802d | 0xfe91…70ff3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,850 | +$150 +1.0% | 10 |
| 802d |  Squee2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,175 | +$47 +1.1% | 10 |
| 802d | belyay | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$16 +1.4% | 10 |
| 802d | peiqi2 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,478 | −$67 −1.5% | — |
| 802d | peiqi2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$45 +1.0% | 10 |
| 803d | timisize2 fills | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $3,030 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 803d | timisize2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,017 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 803d |  50Whence3 fills | Michelle Obama | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,231 | −$131 −2.1% | — |
| 803d | 50Whence8 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $38,388 | −$1,648 −4.3% | — |
| 803d |  VibesGreaterRules3 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,730 | −$447 −3.0% | — |
| 803d | VibesGreaterRules | Michelle Obama | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 803d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a7 fills | Michelle Obama | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $33,478 | −$437 −1.3% | — |
| 803d |  aenews23 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $29,472 | −$1,449 −4.9% | — |
| 803d | SakigiriEffect6 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $48,580 | −$943 −1.9% | — |
| 803d | oPushinPchegou | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,487 | −$39 −1.1% | — |
| 803d | Squee | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,667 | −$33 −0.9% | — |
| 803d |  BigMike113 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,946 | −$54 −0.9% | — |
| 803d | Hunter-Biden | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $47,606 | +$358 +0.8% | 10 |
| 803d | Squee | Michelle Obama | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$11 +0.6% | 10 |
| 804d | muyundooo | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,597 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 804d | muyundooo | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 804d | route | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 10 |
| 804d | maidougege6662 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,055 | −$52 −1.3% | — |
| 804d | maidougege6662 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,069 | +$37 +0.9% | 10 |
| 804d | KFC-88682 fills | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $4,192 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 804d | KFC-88682 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,196 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 804d |  redbloodzcell9 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $55,751 | −$2,518 −4.5% | — |
| 804d | route | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 804d |  unitats | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,882 | −$39 −1.0% | — |
| 804d |  truthteller | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$12 +0.9% | 10 |
| 804d |  pocahontasporker | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 805d |  fhantombets9 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $42,186 | −$1,236 −2.9% | — |
| 805d | AUwedy2 fills | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $3,914 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 805d | AUwedy2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,918 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 805d | adongge6 | Kamala Harris | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 805d | adongge6 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$14 +0.7% | 10 |
| 805d | aenews22 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $29,564 | +$1,357 +4.6% | 10 |
| 805d | Treadmilled | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$89 +1.1% | 10 |
| 805d | fhantombets10 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $70,458 | +$3,801 +5.4% | 10 |
| 805d | oPushinPchegou | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | +$46 +1.3% | 10 |
| 805d | redbloodzcell9 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $40,060 | +$3,248 +8.1% | 10 |
| 806d | pocahontasporker | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$64 +2.0% | 10 |
| 806d | fhantombets | Michelle Obama | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,354 | −$24 −0.7% | — |
| 806d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Michelle Obama | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 807d | tangyuanQAQlol2 fills | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $4,207 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 807d | tangyuanQAQlol2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,211 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 807d | Rude-BumperNew account | Mark Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,348 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 807d | fhantombets | Mitt Romney | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 807d | fhantombets | John Fetterman | SellNo>99¢ | $1,868 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 807d |  Erasmus. | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$18 +1.5% | 10 |
| 807d | fgh21fg52j | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,075 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
This is a market on the likelihood of Joe Biden being replaced as the Democratic nominee for the presidential election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris means the market gives it about 100%.