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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-34 | 100% | +88 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-9 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-39 | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40+ | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778d | jagajaga | 30-34 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 778d | abdendriel2 fills | 35-39 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,065 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 778d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 778d | downbaddawg | 40+ | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | −$250 −14% | — |
| 778d | merywin | 40+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$44 +3.1% | 21 |
| 778d |  TheAmericanPsycho | 40+ | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$178 −16% | — |
| 779d | Grotesque-CaroteneNew account | 40+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | +$284 +8.4% | 24 |
| 780d |  AgricultureSecretary | 20-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,700 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | 0xfe91…70ff | 20-24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 780d | Dick Cheney | 25-29 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$61 +5.3% | 21 |
| 780d | unscented-nerd - 5386 | 40+ | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$514 +34% | 24 |
| 781d | AgricultureSecretary | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,504 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | 0xfe91…70ff | 15-19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,550 | +$50 +1.4% | 20 |
| 781d | professorx | 15-19 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$30 +1.5% | 20 |
| 781d |  realAFC | 15-19 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$18 +1.6% | 20 |
| 781d | Dick Cheney | 20-24 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$221 +18% | 21 |
| 781d |  BustedCungly | 40+ | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$402 +37% | 22 |
| 782d | AgricultureSecretary | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,867 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | downbaddawg | 40+ | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$730 +57% | 22 |
| 782d | TheAmericanPsycho | 40+ | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,371 | +$2,066 +61% | 22 |
| 782d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 40+ | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,000 +67% | 22 |
| 782d | lecri | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,215 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d |  LEGACY-ACCT | 40+ | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$257 +25% | 21 |
| 782d | IONLYBETONX | 25-29 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$221 +21% | 21 |
| 782d | Munners | 10-14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$15 +1.4% | 20 |
| 782d | realAFC | 5-9 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | +$30 +1.6% | 20 |
| 783d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 5-9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | +$74 +4.3% | 20 |
| 783d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 783d | copped | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,274 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 783d | AgricultureSecretary | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,556 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 783d | samiras | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 784d | copped | 5-9 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$64 +4.7% | 20 |
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30-34 means the market gives it about 100%.
