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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <3 | 100% | +37 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 3-4 | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-6 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7-8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9-10 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11-14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673d |  Debosnys | 5-6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 673d | Debosnys | 9-10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,874 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 673d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | <3 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 673d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 9-10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 673d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,963 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 673d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 20+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,434 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 674d |  CHHOOSE | 15-19 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 674d | 3PIATI | 7-8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Donald Trump between December 6 and December 13.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <3 means the market gives it about 100%.