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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <5 | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 5-9 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-34 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-39 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686d |  wesloth | <5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,046 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 687d |  Debosnys | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,275 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 687d | Debosnys | 20-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,217 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 689d |  ACE-738 | <5 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$212 +19% | 23 |
| 691d |  Pokeishonn | <5 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$811 +72% | 22 |
This is a market on the total number of tweets posted by Donald Trump between November 22 and November 29.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <5 means the market gives it about 100%.