Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Harmless-Fatigues | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $17,072 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,454 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | Tirdenchi | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,708 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | bell- | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Volodya9590 | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,638 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Jvbcfjb | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $3,415 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing3 fills | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $34,132 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | taijun77889 | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,133 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Parad1se | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $5,694 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Total-Temporary | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,945 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | krasnoesolnishko | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $3,722 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | lemonfruitgrap | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,389 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Jdjdj12 | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,447 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Grig5152 fills | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere76¢ → 100¢ | $7,578 | −$2,334 −31% | — |
| 25d | GeorgeRe | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Straight-Recipient | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $3,376 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,850 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | redvinny | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $3,845 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,682 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | aaaa298 | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $4,525 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Trungl | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,279 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | qidian007 | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,179 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | smthg | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $1,630 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,461 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | pipipi150 | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere>99¢ | $2,164 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere99¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 25d | qwerry | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere98¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$26 −2.3% | — |
| 25d | q7662504 | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere98¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | +$48 +2.3% | 5 |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere95¢ → 100¢ | $4,439 | +$247 +5.6% | 6 | |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere94¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$65 +6.4% | 6 | |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere88¢ → 100¢ | $2,443 | +$333 +14% | 8 | |
| 25d | Jvbcfjb | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere88¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$419 +14% | 8 |
| 25d | Violent-Figurine | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$103 +9.4% | 7 |
| 25d | Unconscious-Pulley | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere85¢ → 100¢ | $2,367 | −$411 −17% | — |
| 25d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere56¢ → 100¢ | $18,399 | +$14,314 +78% | 14 |
| 25d | Rewarding-Polarisation | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere85¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$235 +18% | 9 |
| 25d | Zenhack2 fills | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere79¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | −$855 −26% | — |
| 25d | gxxyy3 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere68¢ → 100¢ | $4,096 | +$1,904 +46% | 14 |
| 25d | mishkapatron | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere83¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$205 +20% | 10 |
| 25d | PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere76¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$941 +31% | 12 |
| 25d | lemonfruitgrap | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere75¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$348 +33% | 12 |
| 25d | erw322 | Match Winner | Buy1win31¢ → 0¢ | $1,086 | −$1,086 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | SHAFKAT | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$491 +33% | 12 |
| 25d | ribalka4 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere60¢ → 100¢ | $7,792 | +$5,192 +67% | 14 |
| 25d | Unripe-Shadowbox | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere70¢ → 100¢ | $5,971 | −$2,507 −42% | — |
| 25d | hff.4 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere63¢ → 100¢ | $9,618 | +$5,578 +58% | 14 |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere63¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,727 +58% | 14 | |
| 25d | Match Winner | Buy1win40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 25d | nothingtoint | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere60¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$713 +66% | 14 |
| 25d | ribalka3 fills | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere57¢ → 100¢ | $4,457 | −$3,380 −76% | — |
| 25d | Total-Temporary2 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere57¢ → 100¢ | $2,836 | +$2,115 +75% | 14 |
| 25d | Match Winner | SellNatus Vincere61¢ → 100¢ | $3,684 | −$2,316 −63% | — | |
| 25d | krasnoesolnishko2 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere53¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$2,705 +89% | 14 |
| 25d | sdfqq14 fills | Match Winner | Buy1win53¢ → 0¢ | $16,876 | −$16,876 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR2 fills | Match Winner | Buy1win40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere60¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | +$1,989 +68% | 14 | |
| 25d | xytest2 fills | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere61¢ → 100¢ | $3,026 | +$1,974 +65% | 14 |
| 25d | Finlandforevar | Match Winner | Buy1win37¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 14 |
| 25d | Unripe-Shadowbox | Match Winner | BuyNatus Vincere69¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$838 +45% | 17 |
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Match Winner means the market gives it about 100%.