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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3B | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $1B | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379d | 100x | $3B | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d |  Winry | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,742 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | Fabulous-TailbudNew account | $3B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$142 +14% | 2 |
| 380d | Fabulous-TailbudNew account | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,316 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
pink555 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of DoubleZero's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If DoubleZero doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $3B means the market gives it about 100%.