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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 564d | AreWeNotEntertained | Duterte released from custody in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,742 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 565d | IronDuck | Duterte released from custody in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,240 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 566d | Sylendriel | Duterte released from custody in March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,444 | +$110 +0.4% | 20 |
| 576d |  scottilicious | Duterte released from custody in March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Duterte is released from custody by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Duterte is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Duterte is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Duterte to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.