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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | 100% | +63 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | 0% | −28 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester City | 0% | −35 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d |  Eloncuck78 | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | Maxoupicsou | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d |  Castolo | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $25,590 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | zzqq35 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,427 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | yupiiiiiiiii | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 61d |  TPIM0x478967faF43441E727faDA3eb86D9238019 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,420 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | colossus | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $3,223 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 61d |  Giannis34x | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $2,634 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | 0x437b…1d11 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $10,004 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | sentrio | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $13,049 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | sentrio | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $13,801 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | pagliacci4 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | Laf77 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,242 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d |  digitalnomad85 | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $2,341 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | xabidaking | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $6,563 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | venera1234 | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $4,297 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | Danil13524 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,466 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | swisstony13 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $39,656 | +$33,858 +85% | 14 |
| 61d | alaskabaked | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $7,349 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 61d | wtf99999 | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $1,386 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | TB14 | Arsenal FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,203 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 61d | swisstony16 fills | Manchester City | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $250,723 | +$25,281 +10% | 7 |
| 61d | anon.1980.123 | Manchester City | SellNo>99¢ | $5,015 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | alohaa2 fills | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,461 | +$261 +0.3% | 4 |
| 62d | b39082 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,363 | +$52 +0.5% | 4 |
| 62d | Reckless-Chronograph | Arsenal FC | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 62d | yenLord | Manchester City | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,055 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 62d | Acclaimed-Aquifer | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$19 +0.9% | 4 |
| 62d | Lilybaeum2 fills | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$24 +0.9% | 4 |
| 62d | pagliacci4 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 62d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $7,092 | +$4,711 +66% | 14 |
| 62d | Castolo2 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,934 | +$286 +2.1% | 4 |
| 62d | xhdwnubfzefvbkefjweof2h5z1tzh211t316ttj1h | Arsenal FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | +$35 +2.0% | 4 |
| 62d | 0x1372…4ce0 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,731 | +$146 +3.1% | 4 |
| 62d | TPIM0x478967faF43441E727faDA3eb86D9238019 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$37 +3.1% | 4 |
| 62d | swisstony | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | +$64 +3.1% | 4 |
| 62d |  cryptobardiaa | Arsenal FC | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $8,141 | −$1,475 −18% | — |
| 62d | SplendidAmadeus | Manchester City | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | −$200 −5.3% | — |
| 62d |  palmdo | Manchester City | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | +$84 +4.2% | 4 |
| 62d | szszszsz999 | Arsenal FC | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$207 −19% | — |
| 62d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Manchester City | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,581 | +$608 +4.2% | 4 |
| 62d |  kugi365 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$189 +18% | 4 |
| 62d | xabidaking | Arsenal FC | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,495 | +$1,075 +20% | 4 |
| 62d | kmak12 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $9,935 | +$1,996 +20% | 4 |
| 62d | WINSONS | Arsenal FC | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | −$389 −20% | — |
| 62d | Exalted-Evocation | Arsenal FC | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$316 +20% | 4 |
| 62d |  LonnieHawkins | Arsenal FC | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | −$325 −20% | — |
| 62d | SnakeBall11 fills | Manchester City | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $22,836 | +$1,719 +7.5% | 4 |
| 62d | SplendidAmadeus | Manchester City | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,300 | +$700 +7.5% | 4 |
| 62d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | +$426 +9.9% | 4 |
| 62d | LonnieHawkins | Arsenal FC | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | +$914 +59% | 4 |
| 62d | colossus | Arsenal FC | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,226 +61% | 4 |
| 62d | alaskabaked | Arsenal FC | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$2,870 +64% | 4 |
| 62d | sbsigner | Arsenal FC | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,545 | −$2,545 −100% | 4 |
| 62d | 0xbcba…c950 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$931 +75% | 4 |
| 62d |  RN1 | Arsenal FC | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$1,359 +75% | 4 |
| 62d | RN1 | Manchester City | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,240 | +$1,810 +25% | 4 |
| 62d | AGUGava3 fills | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $5,600 | −$5,600 −100% | 12 |
| 62d | Remarkable-Moose-Email2 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $3,590 | −$3,590 −100% | 4 |
| 62d | GoalLineGhost | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City) | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$649 +33% | 4 |
ArturitoFilito30,000 shares
us39129,619 sharesThis event is for the upcoming FA Community Shield game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Manchester City.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Arsenal FC means the market gives it about 100%.