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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $2B | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $500M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $700M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $300M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $5B | 0% | — | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $4B | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $3B | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $600M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $10B | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $400M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | qianzhentao | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,072 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | svlch | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,389 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | xx.eth | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,077 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | rovad | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,981 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | Jugernout | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,381 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 198d |  0xjames | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,503 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | alkh | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,217 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | alkh | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,196 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 198d |  2Sherlock | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,466 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | L1quid | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,774 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | Miko-Kareter | $700M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,754 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | mlinw5 fills | $700M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $10,850 | −$1,725 −16% | — |
| 198d | C03B | $700M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,762 | +$28 +1.0% | 2 |
| 198d | C03B | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,962 | +$38 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | ExDeus | $700M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,705 | +$96 +2.0% | 2 |
| 198d |  Mollytrading | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $9,446 | −$35 −0.4% | — |
| 198d | tsekinming01 | $700M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,868 | +$58 +3.1% | 2 |
| 198d | rovad | $700M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$62 +3.9% | 2 |
| 198d | jayzzz313027598 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | HennesyHoney | $700M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 198d |  ke1pie | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | JJ121885 | $700M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | +$82 +4.0% | 2 |
| 198d |  Telluxion | $700M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$114 +9.9% | 2 |
| 198d |  nyaaamix | $600M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,255 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | Po16882 fills | $700M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,222 | +$391 +12% | 2 |
| 198d | Ba8f3 fills | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,566 | +$91 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | bean125 | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,081 | +$28 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | ke1pie | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,413 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | tsekinming013 fills | $600M | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,685 | +$108 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | ausTaiwan2 fills | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,853 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | agrarward | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,947 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | mlinw2 fills | $700M | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,745 | +$1,267 +22% | 2 |
| 198d | C03B3 fills | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,089 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | tianjiyuyunzhilu3 fills | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,537 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,880 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | Lasyfne | $700M | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | +$1,286 +100% | — |
| 198d | Vitaaalya2 fills | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | CallmeKaty | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,096 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | Rks99 | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,116 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 198d | refzer | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,690 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | kukidi | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,425 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d |  blindmaninanorgy3 fills | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,590 | +$54 +0.5% | 2 |
| 198d | fedglu | $500M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 198d | oidoioi | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $5,612 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 198d | mlinw2 fills | $600M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,736 | −$275 −4.8% | — |
| 198d |  localguy | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,029 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | 11xx11 | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,513 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d | refzer | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,491 | +$38 +0.3% | 2 |
| 198d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 198d | 1881aa4 fills | $600M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,417 | +$282 +4.4% | 2 |
| 198d | FarmMachine | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,486 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 198d | michaelmurphy2 fills | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,040 | +$51 +0.5% | 2 |
| 198d | ETHOFBLACK | $600M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | −$46 −3.0% | — |
| 198d | michaelmurphy | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $10,040 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | asketdao2 fills | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,142 | +$108 +5.1% | 2 |
| 198d | BMFcrypto | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 198d | hyyy666663 fills | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,957 | +$156 +2.6% | 2 |
| 198d | tianjiyuyunzhilu4 fills | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,601 | +$214 +1.0% | 2 |
| 198d |  leleko2k | $600M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$63 +2.4% | 2 |
| 198d | supafan | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,772 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of EdgeX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If EdgeX doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 0%.