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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United FC | 100% | +68 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aston Villa FC | 0% | −42 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC) | 0% | −25 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | burmaldakens | Newcastle United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,728 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | redemptionarc11111 | Newcastle United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,876 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Newcastle United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,250 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 244d | Spry-Disposer | Aston Villa FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,394 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | intrepid | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$243 +14% | 4 |
| 244d | Magnificent-Still | Newcastle United FC | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | −$279 −20% | — |
| 244d | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,799 | +$572 +15% | 4 | |
| 244d | yesyesyes33 | Newcastle United FC | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$155 −12% | — |
| 244d | redemptionarc11111 | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$192 +12% | 4 |
| 244d | Newcastle United FC | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$212 −15% | — | |
| 244d | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 244d | swisstony6 fills | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $11,180 | +$7,397 +66% | 12 |
| 244d | n.maga2 fills | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$360 +14% | 4 |
| 244d | otto21 | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,686 | −$1,686 −100% | 4 |
| 244d | Fadepix | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $8,693 | −$8,693 −100% | 4 |
| 244d | Magnificent-Still | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 244d | swisstony | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$1,827 +156% | 4 |
| 244d | burmaldakens | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$1,666 +156% | 4 |
| 244d | K9O | Newcastle United FC | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,834 | +$1,834 +100% | — |
| 244d | Airpods123 | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $126,441 | −$126K −100% | 4 |
| 244d | PuzzleTricker5 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $43,418 | +$69,268 +160% | 14 |
| 244d | hugesportswhale | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | +$2,133 +150% | 14 |
| 244d | SMCAOMCRL | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$3,500 +163% | 14 |
| 244d | swisstony5 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $7,399 | −$7,399 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | Cannae6 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $7,378 | −$7,378 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC) | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$354 +35% | 13 | |
| 244d | influenz.eth | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$618 +62% | 14 |
| 244d | ThreeLions | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $15,299 | +$27,333 +179% | 14 |
| 244d | influenz.eth | Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC) | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$420 +35% | 13 |
| 244d | GetaLife | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,568 | −$2,568 −100% | 14 |
| 244d | Cannae | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$878 +67% | 14 |
| 245d | Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC) | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | +$650 +35% | 13 | |
| 245d | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $14,115 | −$14,115 −100% | 14 | |
| 245d | TB14 | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Newcastle United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Newcastle United FC means the market gives it about 100%.