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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5-6b | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$5b | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6-7b | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $7-8b | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $10b+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $8-9b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $9-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739d | $7-8b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 739d | peril | <$5b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,065 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 739d | $6-7b | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 739d | $6-7b | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,049 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 739d | $5-6b | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,960 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 739d | $5-6b | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 739d | <$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,453 | +$68 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 740d | Koondas2 fills | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,583 | +$83 +1.3% | 2 |
| 740d | ruthgim | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 740d | fordvip | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,278 | +$35 +1.1% | 2 |
| 740d | clarence | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,526 | +$28 +1.1% | 2 |
| 740d | Ganby | <$5b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 740d | Yifan2 fills | $10b+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,949 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 740d | sandyhancoc | $8-9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 740d | Hargyr | $8-9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,117 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 740d | flannkennethgun | $8-9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 740d | Stephen01 | $8-9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 740d | freedays | $8-9b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | flannkennethgun | $9-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | freedays | $9-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | Goatsonly | $9-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | fordvip | $10b+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,299 | +$33 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | clarence | $10b+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | +$26 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | freedays | $10b+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 741d | $10b+ | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,197 | +$280 +6.7% | 2 | |
| 743d | ReCOn911 | <$5b | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$185 +16% | 2 |
| 744d | $10b+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$32 +2.1% | 2 | |
| 746d | CrypTrillionaire | $10b+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$98 +7.6% | 2 |
| 746d | Star-749 | $10b+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$138 +11% | 2 |
This is a market on the forecasted market capitalization of Eigenlayer one week after its launch.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $5-6b means the market gives it about 100%.