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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Nov 5 | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wednesday, Nov 6 | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Saturday, Nov 30 | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thursday, Nov 7 | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Friday, Nov 8 | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tuesday, Nov 12 | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Saturday, Nov 9 | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710d | longtern | Saturday, Nov 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$16 +0.8% | 10 |
| 710d |  noreasapa | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,840 | +$49 +1.0% | 10 |
| 711d |  Whome | Saturday, Nov 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$54 +3.2% | 10 |
| 711d |  yyowza | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$829 +64% | 18 |
| 712d | youdoit | Friday, Nov 8 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | −$325 −23% | — |
| 714d | gandalf | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$320 +27% | 14 |
| 714d | DCCCALL | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 13 |
| 717d |  zalkida | Saturday, Nov 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$43 +4.3% | 10 |
| 718d | youdoit | Thursday, Nov 7 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | −$340 −22% | — |
| 718d | youdoit | Tuesday, Nov 5 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$597 +51% | 12 |
| 718d | youdoit | Friday, Nov 8 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$192 +19% | 10 |
| 719d | youdoit | Thursday, Nov 7 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $8,839 | +$3,473 +39% | 10 |
| 720d | DumbMoney2.02 fills | Wednesday, Nov 6 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$1,578 +63% | 10 |
enochsmiles10 sharesThis is a market on predicting whether the election will be called be different dates.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Tuesday, Nov 5 means the market gives it about 0%.