Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$0.70T | 100% | 0 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $0.70-$0.80T | 0% | 0 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $0.80-$0.90T | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $0.90-$1.00T | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.00-$1.10T | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.10-$1.20T | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1.20T+ | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d | 1walrus | <$0.70T | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,677 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 76d | $0.70-$0.80T | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$71 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 76d | UsaToWin3 fills | <$0.70T | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | +$79 +2.0% | 4 |
| 77d | $0.70-$0.80T | SellNo>99¢ | $1,432 | −$7 −0.5% | — | |
| 77d | <$0.70T | SellYes100¢ | $2,499 | −$13 −0.5% | — | |
| 77d | $0.70-$0.80T | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 79d | <$0.70T | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$2,628 +258% | 9 |
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <$0.70T means the market gives it about 100%.