Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-114 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | OstapP | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,105 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Rickz88 | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,050 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Dravnyx | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,167 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  upont | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,691 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | WCWS | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,989 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  NrNrfNrf2 | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,027 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Collion | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,104 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | qochar | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,941 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | 1647171 | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,480 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Corny-Crisis | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,083 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 196d |  Ahinara | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,343 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d |  Boss7 | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Dual-Clause | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,163 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d |  TweetPulse.Live | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,998 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 196d |  Gustav43 fills | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,468 | +$48 +0.4% | 20 |
| 196d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,176 | +$64 +0.3% | 20 |
| 196d |  MankPredict | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,897 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 196d | 0xc41f…2a81 | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,177 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 196d | Thin-Print | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,053 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Pungent-Almanac | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,740 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 196d | deyi962451 | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,894 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 196d | deyi9624512 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,787 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 196d | qochar | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,935 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 196d | BinaryBaron | 115-139 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,989 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 196d |  weijizuanqian | 115-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 196d | dfsfsdjk10 | 90-114 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 196d | 1647171 | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,715 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | xaeroqkAtProtonMe | 115-139 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 196d | yip88 | 115-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 196d | yip88 | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,118 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Ahinara | 90-114 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$20 +1.3% | 20 |
| 196d |  all.in0828 | 115-139 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | +$73 +1.9% | 21 |
| 196d | lankeleads2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,517 | +$146 +4.2% | 21 |
| 196d | sleepycat0103 | 115-139 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$49 +4.2% | 21 |
| 196d | mitikohalls | 90-114 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,806 | +$213 +3.1% | 21 |
| 196d | 07nbw4 | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,992 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 196d | Actual-Ladle | 115-139 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | +$103 +4.2% | 21 |
| 196d | Intelligent-TaxNew account | 115-139 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$62 +4.2% | 23 |
| 196d | BinaryBaron | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,879 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 196d |  sundogs | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 196d | Medical-Universe | 115-139 | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,115 | +$1,115 +100% | — |
| 196d | carboyant | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,864 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | WCWS | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,963 | +$34 +0.5% | 20 |
| 196d |  cww468 | 140-164 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 196d | Boss7 | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,293 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 196d | upont2 fills | 140-164 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,751 | +$53 +0.9% | 20 |
| 196d |  FatFrumos | 140-164 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 196d |  TukiAdo | 90-114 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$472 +38% | 29 |
| 196d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,363 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 |
| 196d | thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,399 | −$25 −0.2% | — |
| 196d | Boss72 fills | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,541 | +$40 +0.3% | 20 |
| 196d | yolol2 fills | 140-164 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,915 | +$915 +6.6% | 22 |
| 196d | johnny-guitar | 90-114 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,454 | +$1,326 +54% | 28 |
| 196d | Corny-Crisis2 fills | 90-114 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,614 | +$1,962 +75% | 28 |
| 196d |  LeJoe | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,348 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 196d |  tupac82 fills | 90-114 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$3,288 +95% | 28 |
| 196d | Collion | 140-164 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,989 | +$112 +3.8% | 21 |
| 196d | Collion | 90-114 | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | +$1,283 +100% | — |
| 196d |  Z-1 | 140-164 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$81 +5.9% | 21 |
| 196d | 1647171 | 140-164 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,473 | +$234 +6.7% | 22 |
nimikm1,300 shares
ElonJail1,029 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90-114 means the market gives it about 100%.