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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188d | Rundown-Volcano | 190-214 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,493 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 188d | Collion | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,760 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 188d | Gentle-East | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  Boss7 | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,532 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | Actual-Ladle | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,112 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  diligentjoe | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,672 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | 6862584 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,107 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | havetodoc | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,462 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  upont | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,014 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | Dense-Muscat | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,099 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  PredictionYogi | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,374 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | ded33 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,411 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | havetodoc | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | onekey09 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,581 | +$24 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | 5551ab | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,244 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 189d | upont3 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,147 | +$24 +0.5% | 20 |
| 189d | litquiditycapital | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,322 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 189d | WCWS | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,043 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 189d |  Donateplease | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,747 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 189d | PredictionYogi | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,392 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 189d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,102 | +$38 +0.3% | 20 |
| 189d | ded33 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,259 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 189d | Ommamal | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,435 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 189d | Ommamal | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,432 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | BinaryBaron5 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,570 | +$204 +1.6% | 20 |
| 189d | 0x9429…c151 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,085 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | MelH | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | +$13 +0.6% | 20 |
| 189d | ded33 | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 189d | iSway | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 189d | Puzzled-Homeland | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,435 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | Joethebirria125 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,880 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | 1647171 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | Donateplease | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,282 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | beatyesterday3 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,567 | +$134 +1.6% | 21 |
| 189d | GRILLEDCHEESESANDWICH87 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,024 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | 16471712 fills | 90-114 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,636 | −$80 −1.7% | — |
| 189d | Konium | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$23 +2.0% | 21 |
| 189d |  jesterthegoose2 fills | 40-64 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,794 | +$461 +2.0% | 21 |
| 189d | startrader | 40-64 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$53 +2.7% | 21 |
| 189d | GRILLEDCHEESESANDWICH87 | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$28 +1.4% | 20 |
| 189d | pupupuup | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,994 | +$61 +1.5% | 21 |
| 189d | Ommamal | 40-64 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,261 | +$168 +3.9% | 21 |
| 189d | Coinupup | 40-64 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,149 | +$97 +4.5% | 21 |
| 189d |  Meow12 | 40-64 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$108 +9.1% | 23 |
| 189d | bipbipbop | 90-114 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,629 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 189d | Coinupup | 40-64 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$1,420 −65% | — |
| 189d | 0xf87d…e2c9 | 90-114 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 189d | Actual-Ladle | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | +$15 +0.7% | 20 |
| 189d | Actual-Ladle | 40-64 | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,135 | −$1,079 −51% | — |
| 189d | Tagan1 | 65-89 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,917 | −$834 −44% | — |
| 189d | upont | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,793 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 189d | Donateplease | 90-114 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$20 −1.6% | — |
| 189d | Boss72 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,306 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 189d | Joethebirria125 | 40-64 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$383 +26% | 27 |
| 189d | changc2 | 40-64 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$662 +33% | 28 |
| 189d | nomalmaker | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$19 +1.9% | 21 |
| 189d | carboyant | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,722 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 189d | xaeroqkAtProtonMe | 90-114 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$71 −4.6% | — |
| 189d |  tupac8 | 40-64 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,970 | −$1,970 −100% | 31 |
| 189d | BinaryBaron4 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,357 | +$145 +0.6% | 20 |
nimikm1,200 shares
JoyL540 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.