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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 100% | +89 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-89 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130-139 | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-149 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778d | professorx | 140-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | professorx | 150+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,241 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d |  Car | 150+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$72 +6.4% | 22 |
| 779d | professorx | 100-109 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,716 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 779d | 0xfe91…70ff3 fills | 100-109 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,574 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 779d |  truthteller | 150+ | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,574 | +$1,574 +100% | — |
| 779d | lover2 fills | 100-109 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$38 +1.3% | 20 |
| 780d |  hot-097 | 100-109 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,723 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 781d | professorx2 fills | 90-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,732 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 782d | GottaGOFast | 70-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,709 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 783d |  pirateshere | 60-69 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 783d |  realAFC | 60-69 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 783d |  AgricultureSecretary | <60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,033 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 783d | TheOneB | 150+ | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$2,499 +250% | 22 |
| 783d | truthteller | 150+ | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | −$1,214 −100% | 21 |
chshiro143 sharesElon Musk # of tweets August 23-30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 150+ means the market gives it about 100%.