Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400-424 | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <300 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 475-499 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 665d | SirDragon | 400-424 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,181 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 665d | MakeChinaGreatAgain | 375-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,963 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 665d | alihmt.eth | 375-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,435 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 665d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 400-424 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,225 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 665d | noovd2 fills | 400-424 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,555 | +$565 +4.2% | 20 |
| 665d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec4 fills | 400-424 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $13,411 | +$1,225 +9.1% | 20 |
| 665d |  Bang... | 400-424 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,157 | +$74 +0.9% | 20 |
| 665d | MoneyPrinter💸2 fills | 400-424 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,939 | +$361 +7.3% | 20 |
| 665d | lierihearthuang | 400-424 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,089 | +$94 +1.8% | 20 |
| 665d | Bang... | 400-424 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | −$71 −4.2% | — |
| 665d | braveB | 400-424 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$64 −4.1% | — |
| 665d |  imp | 475-499 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,314 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 665d |  Uncooked | 400-424 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,799 | +$78 +1.6% | 20 |
| 665d | 0xc288a080d9fd922a1d7a43cc164442b784f3edb | 375-399 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$125 −11% | — |
| 665d | Yosoyespanol2 fills | 375-399 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,663 | +$465 +13% | 20 |
| 665d | Caslor | 400-424 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$237 +15% | 20 |
| 665d |  AgricultureSecretary | 375-399 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,603 | +$597 +7.8% | 20 |
| 665d | noovd2 fills | 375-399 | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 20 |
| 666d | Bang...3 fills | 425-449 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | +$320 +8.5% | 22 |
| 666d |  Euan | 375-399 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$584 +55% | 20 |
| 666d |  YoonSeokYeol-857 | 400-424 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,421 +71% | 20 |
| 666d | Umjunsik | 375-399 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,086 | −$1,086 −100% | 20 |
| 666d | YoonSeokYeol-857 | 375-399 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 20 |
| 666d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 375-399 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,424 | −$1,424 −100% | 20 |
| 666d | Anghi | 375-399 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | −$1,187 −100% | 25 |
| 666d |  Prexpect | 375-399 | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 26 |
| 666d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 500+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,622 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 666d | Bang... | 425-449 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$136 −12% | — |
| 666d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 350-374 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | +$134 +5.3% | 21 |
| 666d | Bang... | 450-474 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$53 +5.3% | 21 |
| 666d | MPGA | 375-399 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,278 | +$1,122 +49% | 28 |
| 666d | Bang...2 fills | 350-374 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,934 | −$206 −7.0% | — |
| 666d | E.T | 350-374 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,843 | +$97 +5.2% | 21 |
| 666d | Bang... | 350-374 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,826 | +$285 +7.4% | 22 |
| 666d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead4 fills | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,927 | +$39 +0.1% | 20 |
| 666d |  turtle911 | 425-449 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$563 +30% | 26 |
| 666d | Bang... | 500+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$26 +2.2% | 21 |
| 667d | 3PIATI | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,342 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 667d | imp | <300 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 667d |  Cincinnatus17 | 375-399 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$183 +17% | 22 |
| 667d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,636 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 667d |  CavaSoTasty | <300 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 667d | Bang...4 fills | <300 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,682 | +$476 +5.5% | 21 |
| 670d |  CHHOOSE | 500+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$16 +1.2% | 20 |
| 670d | Tehgameguy | 500+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$33 +3.1% | 20 |
| 671d | 3PIATI | 300-324 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$104 +8.5% | 21 |
| 671d | CavaSoTasty | 475-499 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | +$313 +12% | 21 |
| 672d | bonsai | 500+ | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | +$423 +23% | 21 |
| 672d | romanchain | 500+ | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$243 +23% | 21 |
| 672d | Cincinnatus172 fills | <300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,733 | +$254 +6.8% | 20 |
| 672d |  Baghodler | 400-424 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $4,034 | +$2,298 +57% | 22 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 375-399 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$222 +11% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | <300 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$111 +5.3% | 20 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 400-424 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,998 | −$1,998 −100% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 425-449 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$266 +14% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 475-499 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$244 +12% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 450-474 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$266 +14% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 325-349 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$222 +11% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 300-324 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | +$178 +8.7% | 21 |
| 672d | cigarettes | 350-374 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$200 +9.9% | 21 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between December 13 and December 20.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 400-424 means the market gives it about 100%.