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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 550-599 | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <500 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-649 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 650-699 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-749 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 750-799 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-849 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 850-899 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 900-949 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 950-999 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1000+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | kingbin | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,828 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d | glarity | 600-649 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,537 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | 550-599 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,335 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 589d | glarity2 fills | 1000+ | SellNo>99¢ | $9,953 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 589d |  LapaPirojok | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  PredictionYogi | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,154 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 589d |  OuchMyBalls | 550-599 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,006 | −$30 −0.4% | — |
| 589d | AZwater7 fills | 600-649 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,007 | +$304 +1.4% | 20 |
| 589d | AZwater2 fills | 550-599 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,092 | +$28 +0.6% | 20 |
| 589d |  Prexpect3 fills | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,830 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 589d | Prexpect | 600-649 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,728 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 589d |  Yuugen2 fills | 550-599 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,939 | −$543 −14% | — |
| 589d |  CallmeEuphoria | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,752 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 589d | Monster24 | 600-649 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,425 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 589d | Monster24 | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,333 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 589d | Monster24 | 650-699 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,758 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 589d |  UwO | 550-599 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 589d |  Degenmonkey | 550-599 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,087 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 589d |  Alterego-628 | 550-599 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 589d |  ElonSpam2 fills | 600-649 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | +$106 +3.1% | 21 |
| 589d | ElonSpam2 fills | 550-599 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,111 | +$36 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d | ElonSpam | 500-549 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,644 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 589d |  Gustav4 | 550-599 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d | Gustav4 | 600-649 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,504 | +$45 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d |  item04 | 550-599 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$43 +2.6% | 21 |
| 589d |  ArcLing | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,962 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  NERV2 fills | 500-549 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | −$520 −16% | — |
| 589d |  Elonurmom | 550-599 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | +$76 +2.3% | 21 |
| 589d | 11429y7etb | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,487 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d | alex5622 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$244 +5.7% | 22 |
| 589d | kingbin2 fills | 500-549 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | −$79 −1.8% | — |
| 589d | joezpeh | 550-599 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$59 +4.7% | 21 |
| 589d | kingbin | 500-549 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,818 | +$518 +5.3% | 22 |
| 589d | cigarettes3 fills | 600-649 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,693 | +$74 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d | Yuugen2 fills | 550-599 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,315 | +$1,167 +35% | 24 |
| 589d | giannipito | 550-599 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$35 +3.1% | 21 |
| 589d | JSDelphino | 650-699 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,105 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 589d |  justinlee | 550-599 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$208 −16% | — |
| 589d | astromage2 fills | 1000+ | SellNo>99¢ | $7,414 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 589d | CoolBeans420 | 500-549 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 23 |
| 589d |  roy74102 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,973 | +$528 +7.6% | 22 |
| 589d | leiger2 fills | 950-999 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,858 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 589d | leiger | 500-549 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$171 +9.9% | 23 |
| 589d | leiger | 1000+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,008 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 589d | joezpeh | 550-599 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | −$516 −32% | — |
| 589d |  GayPride | 700-749 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,942 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  Therealsmurf | 500-549 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$369 −19% | — |
| 589d | leiger | 900-949 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,084 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 589d | Apolinariia | 500-549 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$226 +23% | 26 |
| 589d | BenJuri | 550-599 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$463 −28% | — |
| 589d | daizox | 550-599 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$291 −24% | — |
| 589d | PredictionYogi3 fills | 600-649 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,752 | +$442 +5.7% | 21 |
| 589d |  lolboy4D | 500-549 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$317 −16% | — |
| 589d | lolboy4D2 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,861 | +$503 +18% | 24 |
| 589d |  0xta | 550-599 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | −$1,532 −48% | — |
| 589d | 0xta | 500-549 | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,034 | +$1,034 +100% | — |
| 589d | PredictionYogi2 fills | 600-649 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | −$283 −8.2% | — |
| 589d | As24051 | 600-649 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$153 +5.4% | 21 |
| 589d | 828 | 600-649 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$189 +5.9% | 21 |
| 589d | dangg | 500-549 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,693 | −$1,686 −63% | — |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and March 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 550-599 means the market gives it about 100%.